Moscow, June 7 - Vesti.Ekonomika. Association European business(AEB), leading sales statistics for new cars and light commercial vehicles in the Russian Federation, announced on Wednesday an 18% increase in sales in May 2018.
According to the data of the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee, 147.5 thousand cars were purchased in May (-3% compared to April). According to the results of five months of 2018, the Russian car market increased by 20% to 692.9 thousand units.
Joerg Schreiber, Chairman of the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee comments: " In May, the Russian automotive market continued its strong recovery with an 18% improvement compared to the same month last year.
The cumulative increase in sales in the first five months of this year is at the 20% mark - a significant step forward compared to the 5% growth shown in 2017.
This encouraging trend reflects the positive dynamics in retail in general and is accompanied by a steady increase in consumer confidence.
IN recent weeks car sales, in particular, have benefited from a weaker ruble telling buyers not to put off buying a car. It remains to be seen whether this factor will backfire on future retail sales behavior and to what extent."
In the May top 10, almost all brands were noted positive dynamics. The exception was Ford, which lost 6% last year.
The best dynamics showed Hyundai: demand grew by a third - to almost 16 thousand cars.
Kia and Volkswagen also added more than a quarter, their volumes increased by 29% and 27%, respectively.
In turn, Skoda found 20% more buyers than a year earlier.
The market leader, AvtoVAZ, was able to sell 28.7 thousand Lada vehicles, pushing back by 14% from the results of May 2017.
Double-digit growth in the top ten was also demonstrated by Renault (+11%).
In the top 10, Honda rose above all in terms of dynamics, the sales volume of which increased by almost 8.5 times.
Genesis (+231%) and Mitsubishi (+141%) also posted triple-digit gains.
Among other brands, Subaru (+63%), Peugeot (+54%), Smart (+48%), Mazda (+43%), Jeep (+43%) and UAZ (+40%) show strong growth.
In the camp Chinese brands FAW (+279%), DFM (+200%), Zotye (+73%) and Haval (+65%) are leading in this indicator.
The weakest results are for SsangYong (-64%), Ravon (-58%), Brilliance (-43%) and Datsun (-29%).
As previously reported by Vesti.Ekonomika, in 2017, after four years of falling sales of new passenger cars and light commercial vehicles (LCVs) in Russia grew by 11.9% (by 170,000 cars) to 1.596 million. 2 times faster.
Russian market cars in 2018 will continue to grow for the second year in a row: sales will increase by 11%, according to a PWC study. The market will steadily grow by 8% on average over the next 5 years, and sales will exceed 2 trillion rubles. and 2 million cars, experts predict.
The size of the passenger car market in Russian Federation in 2012 reached a record in history Russian car industry- 2.8 million units, and in 2017 only 1.51 million units were sold.
"The volume of the passenger car market in 2020 will be 1.72 million units, in 2025 - 2.23 million units, which is less than the historical maximum value of 2012," the approved development strategy says. automotive industry RF until 2025
Below are the top 20 best-selling cars in May 2018 in Russia
| brand | May 2018 sales | May 2017 sales | % growth per year |
| Lada | 28 654 | 25 051 | 14% |
| KIA | 19 561 | 15 121 | 29% |
| Hyundai | 15 859 | 11 955 | 33% |
| Renault | 12 128 | 10 917 | 11% |
| Volkswagen | 9 025 | 7 118 | 27% |
| Toyota | 8 616 | 7 898 | 9% |
| Skoda | 5 973 | 4 985 | 20% |
| Nissan | 5 941 | 5 766 | 3% |
| GAS | 4 675 | 4 370 | 7% |
| Ford | 3 701 | 3 921 | -6% |
| UAZ | 3 630 | 2 586 | 40% |
| Mitsubishi | 3 561 | 1 476 | 141% |
| mercedes benz | 3 234 | 3 065 | 6% |
| bmw | 2 917 | 2 350 | 24% |
| Mazda | 2 536 | 1 778 | 43% |
| Chevrolet | 2 373 | 2 486 | -5% |
| Lexus | 2 080 | 1 766 | 18% |
| Lifan | 1 327 | 1 273 | 4% |
| Audi | 1 318 | 1 553 | -15% |
| Datsun | 1 034 | 1 461 | -29% |
The Association of European Businesses (AEB) announced the results of last year in Russian automotive market. And they cannot but rejoice: the demand for new cars increased by 11.9%. The last time the volume of sales grew in 2012, when the Russian record was set, after which sales began to gradually fall. The recovery that began in March 2017 continued until the end of the year, and as a result, according to the AEB, in twelve months we sold 1 million 596 new cars and light commercial vehicles against 1 million 426 thousand in 2016.
December was the most successful month of the year (166,000 cars): by tradition, buyers rushed to dealers for new cars, pecking at New Year discounts and fear of higher prices after new year holidays. And in general, the situation on the market last year was relatively stable: the exchange rate, oil prices and general economic situation There were no serious shocks, buyers began to get used to the new prices, and in addition, the pent-up demand that had accumulated in recent years had an effect.
Sales of new cars in Russia in 2014-2017
The market leaders gave the main increase: nine brands from the top ten of the rating showed growth from 5 to 22%, and Lada, traditionally ranked first, added 17% at once! And only Toyota ended the year with zero dynamics, leaving behind Volkswagen. By the end of the year, Ravon, Mitsubishi, Subaru, Chery and Suzuki were in plus. But the premium segment is not doing well: Mercedes has not progressed, Land Rover and Porsche sank by 3-8%, Audi sales fell by 18%. And UAZ lost 15% in the growing market.
The best-selling model of 2017, according to official figures, was Kia Rio: 96689 cars and 14% growth. By the end of the year, when stocks of cars of the previous generation ran out, demand went down, but the situation should be corrected cross-hatchback Rio X line. The second and third places were taken by Lada: Granta (93686) and Vesta (77291). Leader among crossovers Hyundai Creta: 55 thousand cars and the fifth place in the absolute rating.
What will please 2018? This is surprising, but for the first time in their entire practice, the AEB refused to give a forecast: an increase in excise taxes and disposal fee can result in a serious increase in the prices of new cars. And if the increase turns out to be large, then further growth may not happen. However, mainly imported cars will be hit, and their share is insignificant in our country. Therefore, many market players agree that sales growth in 2018 will continue, although the rate will decrease to 5-10%.
Sales of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles in Russia in 2017 (compared to 2016)
| brand | 2017, pcs. | 2016, piece | Dynamics |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lada | 311588 | 266296 | +17% |
| Kia | 181947 | 149567 | +22% |
| Hyundai | 157927 | 145326 | +9% |
| Renault | 136682 | 117225 | +17% |
| Volkswagen | 96459 | 80621 | +20% |
| Toyota | 94238 | 94568 | 0 % |
| Nissan | 76000 | 70464 | +8% |
| Skoda | 62302 | 55386 | +12% |
| GAS | 58617 | 55803 | +5% |
| Ford | 50360 | 42528 | +18% |
| mercedes benz | 43312 | 43216 | 0 % |
| UAZ | 41632 | 48848 | –15 % |
| Chevrolet | 32071 | 30463 | +5% |
| bmw | 30018 | 27507 | +9% |
| Mazda | 25910 | 21543 | +20% |
| Datsun | 24510 | 18772 | +31% |
| Mitsubishi | 24325 | 16769 | +45% |
| Lexus | 23693 | 24117 | –2% |
| Lifan | 16964 | 17460 | –3% |
| Audi | 16878 | 20705 | –18 % |
| Ravon/Daewoo | 15078 | 10385 | +45% |
| Land Rover | 8883 | 9122 | –3% |
| Volvo | 7011 | 5585 | +26% |
| Subaru | 6080 | 5638 | +8% |
| Chery | 5905 | 4758 | +24% |
| Suzuki | 5001 | 4520 | +11% |
| Infiniti | 4972 | 4517 | +10% |
| Peugeot | 4931 | 3602 | +37% |
| Porsche | 4578 | 4961 | –8% |
| Citroen | 4377 | 3803 | +15% |
| Honda | 2435 | 1747 | +39% |
| fiat | 2323 | 2159 | +8% |
| Geely | 2234 | 4473 | –50% |
| Jaguar | 2173 | 2073 | +5% |
| Haval | 1894 | no data | no data |
| Mini | 1580 | 1360 | +16% |
| changan | 1411 | 540 | +161% |
| Cadillac | 1365 | 1274 | +7% |
| Jeep | 1274 | 1269 | 0% |
| Zotye | 1088 | 301 | -* |
| Genesis | 1031 | 46 | -** |
| smart | 934 | 696 | +34% |
| Dongfeng | 913 | 1152 | –21 % |
| Isuzu | 736 | 617 | +19 % |
| FAW | 553 | 829 | –33 % |
| Foton | 534 | 75 | +612% |
| IVECO | 469 | 518 | –9% |
| Brilliance | 219 | 863 | –75% |
| ssangyong | 123 | 1141 | –89% |
| hawtai | 99 | no data | no data |
| BAW | 91 | 171 | –47% |
| Chrysler | 9 | 30 | –70% |
| Alfa Romeo | 0 | 100 | - |
| Acura | 0 | 163 | - |
| Haima | 0 | 114 | - |
| * Sales started in March 2016 | |||
| ** Sales started in October 2016 |
Top 25 most popular cars in Russia in 2017 (compared to 2016)
| Model | 2017, pcs. | 2016, piece | Dynamics |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kia Rio | 96689 | 87662 | +10% |
| Lada Granta | 93686 | 87726 | +7% |
| Lada Vesta | 77291 | 55174 | +40% |
| Hyundai Solaris | 68614 | 90380 | –24 % |
| Hyundai Creta | 55305 | 21929 | -* |
| Volkswagen Polo | 48595 | 47702 | +2% |
| Renault Duster | 43828 | 44001 | 0% |
| Lada Largus | 33601 | 29341 | +15% |
| Lada XRAY | 33319 | 19943 | -** |
| Toyota RAV4 | 32931 | 30603 | +8% |
| Chevrolet Niva | 31212 | 29844 | +5% |
| Renault Captur | 30966 | 13926 | -*** |
| Renault Logan | 30640 | 29565 | +4% |
| Renault Sandero | 30210 | 28557 | +6% |
| Skoda Rapid | 29445 | 25931 | +14% |
| Lada 4x4 | 29091 | 27274 | +7% |
| Toyota Camry | 28199 | 28063 | 0% |
| Volkswagen Tiguan | 27666 | 10660 | +160% |
| Kia Sportage | 24611 | 19003 | +30% |
| Skoda Octavia | 22648 | 21759 | +4% |
| Nissan X-Trail | 20626 | 17886 | +15% |
| Nissan Qashqai | 20223 | 18723 | +8% |
| Lada Kalina | 19989 | 20982 | –5% |
| Datsun on-DO | 19712 | 14565 | +35% |
| Mazda CX-5 | 18723 | 15790 | +19% |
| * Sales started in August 2016 | |||
| ** Sales started in February 2016 | |||
| *** Sales started in June 2016 |
In March, it grew by another 13.4%, thereby fixing a 12-month recovery period that began in the spring of 2017. According to the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee, sales of new passenger cars and light commercial vehicles in Russia exceeded last year's period by 19.219 units , thus more than 157 thousand cars for a monthly period.
In total, in 2018, from January to March, almost 400 thousand new cars .
Commentary on what is happening in the market from Jörg Schreiber:
“March, in which the market continued to grow at a steady pace, became the 12th month in a period of continuous recovery year on year. From this point on, it will be much more difficult, although on the other hand much more valuable for the market, to achieve significant growth on an ongoing basis.
Market participants agree that further growth is the most likely scenario for 2018. Forecast of AEB members is an improvement in total sales by about 10% compared to 2017 to the level of 1.75 million units”.
As in previous months the largest number of sold models remains behind: 30 thousand in March 2018 and almost 80 thousand units of equipment from January to March.
Second place in the standings of car companies remains with Kia - almost 20 thousand cars various brands.
Third place at , with an indicator in 16 thousand cars .
Top 5 best selling car brands the third month of the year entered and with indicators in 14 And 9 thousand cars sold, respectively.
Serious falls among all automakers are not observed, as well as a few months earlier. But there are big winners. So, in March of this year, Mitsubishi was lucky, the Japanese sold more 5 thousand model units , plus 206%. Since the beginning of the year, more than 10 thousand cars , What's on 6 thousand more than a year earlier.
Also won a small victory. Despite sales growth of 206% similar to Mitsubishi, the final results for the month are much more modest - plus 249 cars . More details can be found here: Statistics
Among the Top 25 best-selling car models for March 2018, things are as follows:
In September, sales of new cars and commercial vehicles in Russia increased by 17.9% compared to September 2016 and reached 148,371 units, follows from the report of the Association of European Businesses (AEB). In total, 1.02 million cars were sold in January-September, which is 10.6% higher than in the same period last year. According to the results of nine months, the top three included Lada, which increased sales by 17%, Korean Kia(+27%) and Hyundai (+11%). Negative dynamics continues to show Russian UAZ(-13%), premium Porsche (-12%) and Audi (-22%).
Reasons for Growth
Following the recovery in the market, several automakers also improved their forecast for 2017. In July within the day open doors AvtoVAZ President Nicolas Maure reported that the Russian car market could grow by 7 to 10% in 2017. At the time, Mohr explained that an increase in growth rates could occur after the launch of new government support measures, including such programs as the First Car and the Family Car.
Kia Motors raised the forecast for the Russian car market from 5-7 to 10-12%. The upward revision is due to the economic recovery and current state programs, Alexander Moinov, managing director of the Russian division of Kia Motors, said in an interview with Reuters at the end of September. Hyundai also increased its forecast for 2017 from 1.4 million to 1.55 million vehicles (an increase of 8.7%), its representative told RBC.
A representative of Volkswagen told RBC that the company's forecast for the car market is at the level of AEB expectations - an increase of 10%.
On Friday, October 6, the French automaker, which predicts a recovery in the Russian market: total car sales in Russia by 2022 will exceed 2.5 million, which is 60% higher than in 2016, Renault expects. Forecast for 2017 by Russian market the company does not disclose.
PwC analysts predict an increase in car sales in Russia in 2017 to 1.4 million units (+7%) under the baseline scenario, up to 1.46 million (+11%) under the optimistic scenario. The implementation of the scenario will depend on the economic market conditions in the second half of the year, according to the company's research.
Ulrik Andersen, Head of KPMG's Automotive Practice, forecasts 1.5-1.6 million passenger car sales by the end of 2017, up 10-12%. “The double-digit growth that we can now observe is the result of extremely low demand over the past few years, caused by turbulence in the economy and a number of other negative factors that have affected purchasing power,” Andersen told RBC through the press service. According to him, the current growth in sales is the result of stabilization in the short term, which will lead to the normal renewal of the fleet.
Company Services Team Leader automotive industry in the CIS of EY Andrey Tomyshev told RBC that the main drivers of intensive recovery in car sales in Russia are pent-up demand, the end of the life of previously purchased cars and current programs state support. But EY's forecast for the year remains the same - an increase of 7-8%.
